Orlando City vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
3-1
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City saw off Chicago Fire 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Orlando City had 40% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 60%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 2.27 to 2.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chicago Fire.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando City and 0.50 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs Chicago Fire?
Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 46%, draw 27%, Chicago Fire 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.