New York Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.92
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.9 Crosses 11.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Toronto FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.78 xG 0.69
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 392
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
18.05.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.06.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
05.03.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-4 HT 1-4 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
22.07.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
08.05.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
3-0
AWAY Toronto FC
1.58 xG 0.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
287 Passes 491
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls swept aside Toronto FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 41% of the ball to Toronto FC's 59%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.58 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.33 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

New York Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 50%, draw 23%, Toronto FC 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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