Inter Miami 2-2 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.79
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
17%
5.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
19%
4.33
X/2
10%
12.3
X/X
12%
7.37
2/1
10%
18.4
2/2
8%
8.67
2/X
5%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.91/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.74
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
13.7 Crosses 12.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
0W-3D-3L
AWAY New York City FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
477 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
31.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
11.11.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC HAZ
01.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.03.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
18.10.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-2
AWAY New York City FC
2.55 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
558 Passes 368
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
39 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami and New York City FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 59% of the ball to New York City FC's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.55 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Inter Miami 2-2 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 52%, draw 23%, New York City FC 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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