New York City FC 1-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
42%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.35
2-3 Goals
39%
2.11
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.69
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
13%
7.23
X/X
14%
6.27
2/1
5%
20.75
2/2
21%
4.21
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.1pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.42
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.1 Crosses 12.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 474
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
11.11.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC HAZ
01.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.03.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
18.10.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.08.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 1-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
1-1
AWAY Inter Miami
1.15 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
315 Passes 365
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC and Inter Miami couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, New York City FC had 47% of the ball to Inter Miami's 53%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.15 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New York City FC and 1.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Inter Miami?

New York City FC 1-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 34%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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