Charlotte 4-0 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2024

Charlotte
4-0 HT 1-0
New England Revolution
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Charlotte vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.66
X/X
9%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.25
2/2
12%
6.09
2/X
9%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlotte v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.29/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.81
-46% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.6 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Charlotte vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-0D-4L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.96 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
389 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.02.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.04.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
20.03.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 3-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

Charlotte 4-0 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
4-0
AWAY New England Revolution
2.07 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
22 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
289 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
36 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte cruised past New England Revolution 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Charlotte had 42% of the ball to New England Revolution's 58%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.07 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte and 1.40 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs New England Revolution?

Charlotte 4-0 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 49%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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