St. Louis City vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Austin — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
6-3
HT 2-0
Austin
ABD
2-3
HT 1-1
St. Louis City
ABD
St. Louis City 0-1 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Austin squeezed past St. Louis City 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Austin made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, St. Louis City had 64% of the ball to Austin's 36%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.80 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Louis City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for St. Louis City and 1.75 for Austin.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Austin?
St. Louis City 0-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 32%, draw 30%, Austin 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.