DC United 1-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.42
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
18%
5.78
X/2
11%
6.31
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.65
2/2
20%
3.92
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.65 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.68/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.0 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
317 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
07.04.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
09.04.2023 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.03.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
14.07.2022 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.05.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.36 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH DC United vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over DC United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, DC United had 47% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 53%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of DC United vs Columbus Crew?

DC United 1-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split DC United 39%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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