DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.41
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.84
X/2
11%
5.91
X/X
10%
5.62
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
20%
3.47
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +18%
1.64/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.2 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.54 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
313 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
09.04.2023 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.03.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
14.07.2022 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.05.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
31.10.2021 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
2-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.53 xG 1.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
294 Passes 472
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH DC United vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and Columbus Crew shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, DC United had 41% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 59%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.53 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for DC United and 2.17 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of DC United vs Columbus Crew?

DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split DC United 36%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
29 Sep 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Charlotte Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →