CF Montreal 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81 — our 25% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
12%
4.41
X/2
11%
8.62
X/X
13%
5.87
2/1
11%
20.8
2/2
10%
5.78
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.57/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.78
-16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.9 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 395
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2019 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
15.07.2018 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
05.03.2017 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
29.09.2016 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-1 HT 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
17.09.2015 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
04.05.2013 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
3-0
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.35 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
502 Passes 335
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal ran out comfortable winners over San Jose Earthquakes 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CF Montreal as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 58% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.35 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CF Montreal and 1.00 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs San Jose Earthquakes?

CF Montreal 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 46%, draw 27%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
29 Sep 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Charlotte Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →