New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
CONLK
1-0
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-0
HT 2-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
New York Red Bulls 1-5 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC swept aside New York Red Bulls 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 52% of the ball to New York City FC's 48%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.55 to 2.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.83 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
New York Red Bulls 1-5 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 45%, draw 26%, New York City FC 29%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.