Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.04
2-3 Goals
34%
2.2
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
17%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.78
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.7
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
11%
12.55
X/X
13%
7.65
2/1
7%
18.4
2/2
12%
7.98
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
63%
-17.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+13.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.79/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.49
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
13.1 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
460 Passes 333
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
22.10.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
19.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
12.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte CONLK
17.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
07.05.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
1-1
AWAY Charlotte
3.01 xG 1.37
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
569 Passes 357
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
68 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami and Charlotte couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Inter Miami had 60% of the ball to Charlotte's 40%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.01 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.17 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 45%, draw 25%, Charlotte 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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