FC Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.45
X/2
13%
8.62
X/X
11%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
2/2
11%
5.81
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.55
-11% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.1 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 1.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 384
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
14.04.2019 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.36 xG 1.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
445 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC edged past FC Cincinnati 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 62% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 38%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 1.36 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.00 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Los Angeles FC?

FC Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 46%, draw 24%, Los Angeles FC 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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