New England Revolution 1-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.76
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
9%
7.06
X/X
16%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.9
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.51/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.12
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.4 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
419 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC CONLK
02.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
15.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
19.03.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.08.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
08.05.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-0
AWAY Nashville SC
0.87 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
463 Passes 352
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution squeezed past Nashville SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had New England Revolution as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 56% of the ball to Nashville SC's 44%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

New England Revolution 1-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 44%, draw 27%, Nashville SC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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