Chicago Fire 1-1 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.2
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✓
13%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.39
X/2
7%
9.55
X/X
7%
5.65
2/1
11%
21.7
2/2
16%
7.23
2/X
5%
15.5
Value flag · 1/X at 14.1 — our 13% vs market 4.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.63
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.0 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.03.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-3 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
13.07.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-0 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-2 HT 3-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
28.08.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-2 HT 0-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
1-1
AWAY CF Montreal
0.81 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
307 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chicago Fire and CF Montreal shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 30 Mar 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 43% of the ball to CF Montreal's 57%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.57.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?

Chicago Fire 1-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 43%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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