Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chicago Fire v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chicago Fire 1-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Chicago Fire and CF Montreal with a point apiece. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chicago Fire at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
On the day, CF Montreal saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Chicago Fire against 1.67 for CF Montreal.
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Result & Final Score
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 56%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5 went the other way.