Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-0
HT 3-0
CF Montreal
ABD
3-2
HT 3-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
0-2
HT 0-2
CF Montreal
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
CF Montreal
ABD
Chicago Fire 4-3 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire squeezed past CF Montreal 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Chicago Fire found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 62% of the ball to CF Montreal's 38%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.23 to 2.97 — on chances, CF Montreal could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.33 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?
Chicago Fire 4-3 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 40%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.