Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chicago Fire v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chicago Fire 4-3 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire shaded a tight game against CF Montreal 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Chicago Fire had 62% of the ball to CF Montreal's 38%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.23 to 2.97 — by the quality of chances, CF Montreal deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.33 for CF Montreal.
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Result & Final Score
Chicago Fire 4 - 3 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 49%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.