Seattle Sounders 1-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
14%
3.79
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
8.34
2/X
9%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.80/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.74
-15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.0 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
384 Passes 336
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.02.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 4-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.07.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
23.05.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
21.10.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
04.10.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
1-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.08 xG 2.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders and Colorado Rapids shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 48% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 52%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.08 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Seattle Sounders and 0.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Colorado Rapids?

Seattle Sounders 1-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 51%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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