CF Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.79
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
12%
7.06
X/X
13%
5.11
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
10%
4.81
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.71
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.0 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-3 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
13.07.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-0 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-2 HT 3-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
28.08.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-2 HT 0-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
19.09.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-0
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.24 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
434 Passes 535
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal beat Chicago Fire 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CF Montreal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 45% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.24 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CF Montreal and 1.50 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?

CF Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 43%, draw 27%, Chicago Fire 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5
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