Nashville SC 2-2 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.2
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
12%
6.34
X/2
14%
5.14
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.13
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.96/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.38
-43% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.7 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
346 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.05.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-2 HT 0-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.08.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC CONLK
16.07.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
26.03.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.07.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
28.10.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-6 HT 3-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-2
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.74 xG 0.81
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
212 Passes 525
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nashville SC had 32% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 68%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.74 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nashville SC and 1.50 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Nashville SC 2-2 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 35%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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