Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

Sporting Kansas City
0-2 HT 0-0
Minnesota United
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.68
2-3 Goals
34%
2.02
4-5 Goals
31%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.0
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
11%
5.51
X/2
11%
6.62
X/X
12%
5.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
12%
3.87
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.56/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.20
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
22.7 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Minnesota United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
436 Passes 332
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
28.04.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
22.10.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-1 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
17.09.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
14.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-0 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
18.09.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-1 HT 3-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0-2
AWAY Minnesota United
1.86 xG 1.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
472 Passes 206
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United saw off Sporting Kansas City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Kansas City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 67% of the ball to Minnesota United's 33%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.86 to 1.23 — on chances, Sporting Kansas City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.17 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United?

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 45%, draw 23%, Minnesota United 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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