Columbus Crew 4-3 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
8%
4.43
X/2
9%
8.38
X/X
12%
5.56
2/1
11%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.75
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +40%
1.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.47
-8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.9 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.66 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
470 Passes 343
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
26.11.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 4-3 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
14.05.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
09.10.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.04.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
4-3
AWAY Orlando City
2.06 xG 2.37
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
514 Passes 322
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over Orlando City 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 60% of the ball to Orlando City's 40%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.06 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Orlando City?

Columbus Crew 4-3 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 47%, draw 25%, Orlando City 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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