New York Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.66 — our 25% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.1
X/2
6%
10.05
X/X
13%
6.05
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
13%
7.04
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.73
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.1 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 0.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
202 Passes 365
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-0 HT 2-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
02.04.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
18.08.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
01.07.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
04.11.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
27.06.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-2
AWAY Atlanta United
3.26 xG 1.66
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
398 Passes 199
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 15
36 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 63% of the ball to Atlanta United's 37%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 3.26 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.50 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United?

New York Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 49%, draw 26%, Atlanta United 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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