FC Dallas 3-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.65
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
8%
6.78
X/X
13%
5.45
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
13%
4.3
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 14% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.44/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.53
+9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.9 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
378 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
02.07.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
26.03.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
11.09.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
30.06.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
21.10.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-3 HT 2-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
3-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.23 xG 0.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
360 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas saw off Los Angeles FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Dallas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Dallas had 47% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 53%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.23 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Dallas and 1.67 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?

FC Dallas 3-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 39%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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