Los Angeles FC 1-0 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.1
X/1
25%
3.64
X/2
7%
15.85
X/X
9%
7.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
2/2
7%
11.75
2/X
5%
19.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-6.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.21/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.92
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.1 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
26.03.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
11.09.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
30.06.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
21.10.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-3 HT 2-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.06.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
1-0
AWAY FC Dallas
1.47 xG 0.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
412 Passes 536
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC squeezed past FC Dallas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 44% of the ball to FC Dallas's 56%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.33 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas?

Los Angeles FC 1-0 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 63%, draw 19%, FC Dallas 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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