Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Mar 2025

Inter Miami
2-1 HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - Major League – 2025

Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.87
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.66
X/2
9%
9.28
X/X
9%
6.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
2/2
13%
6.42
2/X
5%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.81/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.47
+25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
12.8 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
450 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
16.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
16.08.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-4 HT 0-3 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
25.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 3-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
05.03.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
14.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD

Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-1
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.06 xG 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami squeezed past Philadelphia Union 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 52% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 48%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 2.06 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 49%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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