Inter Miami 3-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.8
2-3 Goals
40%
2.29
4-5 Goals
27%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.71
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.0
X/1
15%
4.13
X/2
8%
13.7
X/X
9%
8.09
2/1
8%
17.95
2/2
8%
8.55
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.88/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.67
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
12.7 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
434 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
16.08.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-4 HT 0-3 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
25.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 3-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
05.03.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
14.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
19.05.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.07 xG 1.96
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
541 Passes 297
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami beat Philadelphia Union 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 63% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 37%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.07 to 1.96 — on chances, Philadelphia Union could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Miami and 1.33 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Inter Miami 3-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 52%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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