Atlanta United 0-2 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

Atlanta United
0-2 HT 0-1
Nashville SC
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Atlanta United vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
9%
4.23
X/2
10%
9.52
X/X
10%
6.08
2/1
7%
20.4
2/2
11%
6.51
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.6
Value flag · 2/X at 14.6 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlanta United v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.52
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
413 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.5 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Atlanta United vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 1.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
438 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
27.08.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.04.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
22.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
12.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 0-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABDK
28.08.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD

Atlanta United 0-2 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
0-2
AWAY Nashville SC
0.48 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
393 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC beat Atlanta United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlanta United had 55% of the ball to Nashville SC's 45%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.48 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atlanta United and 1.83 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Nashville SC?

Atlanta United 0-2 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 46%, draw 27%, Nashville SC 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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