Orlando City 3-0 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.59
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
14%
3.85
X/2
8%
14.05
X/X
11%
7.25
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
9%
9.78
2/X
5%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.16
+23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.0 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-3 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
08.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-2 HT 3-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
18.06.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
07.08.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 0-3 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
16.06.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.10.2021 Orlando City Orlando City 2-2 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
3-0
AWAY New England Revolution
2.20 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
380 Passes 356
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
27 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City ran out comfortable winners over New England Revolution 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Orlando City had 52% of the ball to New England Revolution's 48%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.20 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Orlando City and 2.00 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs New England Revolution?

Orlando City 3-0 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 55%, draw 22%, New England Revolution 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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