DC United 1-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.33
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
12%
6.07
X/X
12%
5.38
2/1
12%
24.45
2/2
14%
3.69
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
1.66/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.24
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.2 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY New York City FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.89 xG 1.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 363
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
08.10.2023 DC United DC United 2-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
19.03.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 3-2 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
01.09.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-2 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
19.05.2022 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
24.10.2021 New York City FC New York City FC 6-0 HT 4-0 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-1
AWAY New York City FC
1.30 xG 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
214 Passes 415
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH DC United vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and New York City FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, DC United had 38% of the ball to New York City FC's 62%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.30 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for DC United and 2.33 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of DC United vs New York City FC?

DC United 1-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split DC United 39%, draw 26%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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