New York City FC 2-0 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
7%
8.42
X/X
9%
5.14
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
15%
6.14
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.04/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.59
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.4 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY DC United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 DC United DC United 2-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
19.03.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 3-2 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
01.09.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-2 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
19.05.2022 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
24.10.2021 New York City FC New York City FC 6-0 HT 4-0 DC United DC United ABD
28.06.2021 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 0-1 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
2-0
AWAY DC United
3.00 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
275 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC got the better of DC United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, New York City FC had 48% of the ball to DC United's 52%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 3.00 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for New York City FC and 1.17 for DC United.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs DC United?

New York City FC 2-0 DC United in the USA - Major League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 46%, draw 26%, DC United 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York City FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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