Columbus Crew 2-2 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
20%
4.0
X/2
9%
11.45
X/X
10%
6.4
2/1
7%
20.3
2/2
7%
8.02
2/X
5%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.79/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.77
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.9 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.57 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
425 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.07.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
18.09.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
21.04.2019 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-3 HT 0-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
20.09.2018 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
26.03.2017 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 2-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
07.03.2016 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
2-2
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.47 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
562 Passes 260
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew and Portland Timbers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Columbus Crew carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 66% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 34%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.47 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Columbus Crew and 2.33 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Portland Timbers?

Columbus Crew 2-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 56%, draw 22%, Portland Timbers 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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