CF Montreal 2-2 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.09
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.93
X/2
10%
5.2
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.39
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+10.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.02
+4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +72%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 84%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.8 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
01.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
07.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
17.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
07.05.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-1 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
27.02.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-2
AWAY Orlando City
1.51 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
473 Passes 406
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Orlando City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 53% of the ball to Orlando City's 47%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.51 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CF Montreal and 1.00 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Orlando City?

CF Montreal 2-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 45%, draw 24%, Orlando City 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
21 Apr 2024
02:30 New York City FC vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs Portland Timbers Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Analysis →
03:30 Houston Dynamo vs Austin Analysis →