Houston Dynamo vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Houston Dynamo v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Houston Dynamo 0-1 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Austin squeezed past Houston Dynamo 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Houston Dynamo carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 67% to 33% in Houston Dynamo's favour, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.52 to 0.78 — on chances, Houston Dynamo could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Houston Dynamo against 1.83 for Austin.
Houston Dynamo vs Austin Result & Final Score
Houston Dynamo 0 - 1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Houston Dynamo vs Austin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 56%, draw 24%, Austin 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.