Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
Philadelphia Union 0-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past Philadelphia Union 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 50% of the ball to New York City FC's 50%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.04 to 1.00 — on chances, Philadelphia Union could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC?
Philadelphia Union 0-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 53%, draw 23%, New York City FC 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.