Birkirkara 4-0 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.62
Over
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United The Market 30%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.65
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.01.2026 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MALTP
23.08.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.01.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
26.10.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
16.12.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
08.04.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-3 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
4-0
AWAY Gzira United
15 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara cruised past Gzira United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Birkirkara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birkirkara and 1.17 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Gzira United?

Birkirkara 4-0 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 38%, draw 32%, Gzira United 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
17 Aug 2026
21:30 Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta Analysis →