Gzira United 2-0 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.68
Over
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara The Market 46%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.21/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Birkirkara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.01.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
26.10.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
16.12.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
08.04.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-3 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
12.11.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United got the better of Birkirkara 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Birkirkara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gzira United and 1.67 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Birkirkara?

Gzira United 2-0 Birkirkara in the MALTP on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 31%, draw 27%, Birkirkara 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Birkirkara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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