Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Tarxien Rainbows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.86
Over
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Marsaxlokk FC win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
02.10.2025 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2-1
AWAY Tarxien Rainbows
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Tarxien Rainbows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC edged past Tarxien Rainbows 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 45% of the ball to Tarxien Rainbows's 55%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Tarxien Rainbows in the MALTP on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 54%, draw 24%, Tarxien Rainbows 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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