Floriana vs Mosta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Floriana v Mosta — Team-Based Signals
Floriana vs Mosta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Floriana nicked a narrow win over Mosta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Floriana and 0.33 for Mosta.
What was the final score of Floriana vs Mosta?
Floriana 2-1 Mosta in the MALTP on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Floriana vs Mosta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Floriana 66%, draw 18%, Mosta 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.