Floriana 2-2 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mosta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
03.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.04.2024 Floriana Floriana 4-0 HT 3-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
09.12.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
12.02.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
08.10.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
2-2
AWAY Mosta
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana and Mosta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Floriana at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 66% of the ball to Mosta's 34%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Floriana and 0.50 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Mosta?

Floriana 2-2 Mosta in the MALTP on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Floriana 58%, draw 23%, Mosta 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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