Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamrun Spartans v Gzira United — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Gzira United
MLTP
1-0
HT 0-0
Gzira United
MLTP
1-2
HT 1-1
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
2-0
HT 1-0
Gzira United
MLTP
Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Gzira United — Actual Match Statistics
Gzira United squeezed past Hamrun Spartans 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 58% of the ball to Gzira United's 42%, shots finished 7-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.50 for Gzira United.
What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Gzira United in the MALTP on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 43%, draw 33%, Gzira United 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) went the other way.