Gzira United 1-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.81/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
-14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
13.12.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
11.03.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
30.10.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
24.04.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
05.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 4-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
1-2
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Gzira United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Hamrun Spartans made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 57% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 43%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gzira United and 1.50 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans?

Gzira United 1-2 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 33%, draw 30%, Hamrun Spartans 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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