Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.4pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.78/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.60
-19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +73%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
11.03.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
26.02.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTAK
30.10.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
1 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC and Hibernians FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 46% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 54%, shots finished 1-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.75 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 37%, draw 25%, Hibernians FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernians FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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