Naxxar Lions 0-3 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
12%
+11.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.5pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 70%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.38/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.52
-39% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-4 HT 0-2 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-3
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers cruised past Naxxar Lions 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 39% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 61%, shots finished 7-21.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Sliema Wanderers?

Naxxar Lions 0-3 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 24%, draw 27%, Sliema Wanderers 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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