Birkirkara 1-3 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
41%
2.77
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
30%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-10.2pp
41%
Draw
32%
+8.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.4pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.69/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.62
+89% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.01.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
03.09.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.04.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
18.04.2022 Floriana Floriana 3-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-3
AWAY Floriana
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana got the better of Birkirkara 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birkirkara had 52% of the ball to Floriana's 48%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birkirkara and 1.33 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Birkirkara 1-3 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 24%, draw 41%, Floriana 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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