Mosta 0-2 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-12.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.4pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.67/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.06
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Floriana Floriana 4-0 HT 3-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
09.12.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
12.02.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
08.10.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
12.02.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
23.10.2021 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
0-2
AWAY Floriana
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana saw off Mosta 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mosta had 45% of the ball to Floriana's 55%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mosta and 1.83 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Floriana?

Mosta 0-2 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mosta 22%, draw 29%, Floriana 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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