Birkirkara 1-0 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
25%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.2pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.66/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.58
-29% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +75%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.05.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAK
28.01.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
17.09.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
06.03.2022 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
27.11.2021 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-0
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara squeezed past Sliema Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 35% / 38% — and on the day Birkirkara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Birkirkara had 40% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 60%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Birkirkara and 0.20 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

Birkirkara 1-0 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 26%, draw 35%, Sliema Wanderers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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