Balzan FC 2-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 58%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.71/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.50/0.71
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
23.09.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
15.04.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
03.12.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
12.02.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
2-1
AWAY Gzira United
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC edged past Gzira United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gzira United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 33% of the ball to Gzira United's 67%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Balzan FC and 1.20 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Gzira United?

Balzan FC 2-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 29%, draw 27%, Gzira United 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
3 Oct 2024
19:00 Naxxar Lions vs Melita Analysis →
19:00 Mosta vs Floriana Analysis →
21:30 Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers Analysis →