Gzira United 1-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

Gzira United
1-1 HT 1-0
Balzan FC
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2023/2024

Gzira United vs Balzan FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gzira United v Balzan FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.07/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.99
-23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Gzira United vs Balzan FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Balzan FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
15.04.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
03.12.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
12.02.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP

Gzira United 1-1 Balzan FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
1-1
AWAY Balzan FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United and Balzan FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gzira United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gzira United had 55% of the ball to Balzan FC's 45%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gzira United and 0.75 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Balzan FC?

Gzira United 1-1 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 44%, draw 27%, Balzan FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gzira United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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