Santa Lucia 0-2 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

Santa Lucia
0-2 HT 0-2
Hibernians FC
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2023/2024

Santa Lucia vs Hibernians FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Lucia v Hibernians FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 55%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.81/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/0.69
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Santa Lucia vs Hibernians FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Lucia
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
19.02.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
16.10.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 2-3 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
29.01.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
25.09.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP

Santa Lucia 0-2 Hibernians FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Lucia
0-2
AWAY Hibernians FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Lucia vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC beat Santa Lucia 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hibernians FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Santa Lucia had 51% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 49%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Santa Lucia and 2.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Santa Lucia vs Hibernians FC?

Santa Lucia 0-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Lucia vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santa Lucia 23%, draw 29%, Hibernians FC 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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