Floriana 1-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +27%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.40
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mosta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.04.2024 Floriana Floriana 4-0 HT 3-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
09.12.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
12.02.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
08.10.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
12.02.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana edged past Mosta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Floriana and 0.50 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Mosta?

Floriana 1-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Floriana 49%, draw 28%, Mosta 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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