Birkirkara 0-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.21/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.47
+31% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.04.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
30.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 1-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
02.12.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
25.02.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
19.02.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
0-2
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans got the better of Birkirkara 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Birkirkara had 58% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 42%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birkirkara and 1.00 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Birkirkara 0-2 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 28%, draw 29%, Hamrun Spartans 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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